Guardians (23-29) vs. Orioles (34-19) Game Preview | MON 1:05 PM. EST. 5/29

May 29, 2023

Andy Billman

Start of 3-Game Road Series.

3 Things Preview Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles:

1 – Winning streak?

The Guardians enter today trying again to win two in a row.  Cleveland has not won two in a row since beating the Angels back on May 13th and 14th.  If they win, it also will be three out of four victories, the Guards have not done that since May 6th thru May 9th.  

2 – Logan Allen

Logan Allen looks to win his second-ever in the big leagues today in Baltimore.  Allen won his debut on April 23rd against Miami but has not had a victory since.  It is not because Allen is not pitching well, he comes in today with a respectable ERA of 3.31. 

3 – Let’s score some runs 

Cleveland enters today’s last in runs scored in baseball.  In the past five series, the Guardians have scored four or less in all games except for two, and in one of those games they lost to the Mets 10-9.  Even with all of the trouble with scoring runs, somehow the Guards are only three games behind Twins in the loss column.   

Guardians Notes

The Cleveland Guardians, averaging a mere 2.9 runs per game in May, are aiming to revitalize their offense as they embark on a three-game series against the Baltimore Orioles on Monday.

In terms of scoring output this month, Cleveland has tallied 70 runs, a figure that is tied with the Pittsburgh Pirates for the lowest in the entire league. Despite only managing to score nine runs in a recent three-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals, the Guardians achieved two victories.

On Sunday, Jose Ramirez delivered a walk-off, two-run double, securing a 4-3 triumph for Cleveland. The renowned third baseman hopes that his clutch performance can inject some much-needed momentum into his team.

“This serves as a reminder that baseball is a challenging sport,” expressed Ramirez via an interpreter. “Things won’t always go our way, but we’re in this for the long haul. We must stay prepared because both positive and negative outcomes are inevitable, and we need to be equipped to handle them all.”

Following this victory, the Guardians have now improved to a record of 4-8 in their last 12 games.

Guards Stats and Insights


  • Allen makes the start for the Guardians, his seventh of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox, the lefty threw six innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Allen is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 innings per start.
  • The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for two Allen starts this season — they split the games.
  • Allen’s team has won three of his six starts.
  • Allen has started six games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.


  • They are 4-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has gone 3-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 12-13.
  • Cleveland has a 9-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won eight of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Orioles Notes

Tyler Wells, the right-handed pitcher for the Baltimore team, will be taking the mound on Monday in an effort to slow down the Cleveland team. This will mark his 11th appearance of the season, with 10 of those being starts.

In his most recent game against the New York Yankees on Wednesday, Wells ended up with a no-decision. During that game, he allowed five runs on five hits, accompanied by two walks and eight strikeouts in a span of five innings. Wells continues to struggle with giving up home runs, as he has now surrendered a total of nine over his past five starts.

Reflecting on his performance against New York, Wells acknowledged the issue with home runs and expressed his determination to address it. He stated, “Homeruns have definitely been a problem for me. That’s something we will continue to address. I’m going to take the time between this next start and really work on improving that aspect.”

In his previous encounters with the Cleveland Guardians, Wells has made three appearances, with one of those being a start. He currently holds a record of 0-0 against them, along with an ERA of 2.70.

Orioles Stats and Insights


  • Wells and his team have a record of 6-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
  • Wells will look to finish five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
  • Wells’ team has a record of 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Wells’ team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Wells has started this season hit the over four times in nine chances.


  • The Orioles have racked up at least two long balls in 24 games this season, and are 16-8 in those outings.
  • Baltimore has gone 13-1 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits 35 times this season, and has a 23-12 record in those games.
  • Baltimore is 26-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 17 games this season, and are 14-3 in those contests.

Final Thoughts/Pick

In Monday afternoon’s game, the Orioles’ offense is expected to dominate against the Guardians. Baltimore has been performing impressively against left-handed pitchers this season, boasting a batting average of .260. Although Cleveland’s pitcher, Allen, has a solid ERA of 3.31 this season, it’s the lack of offensive firepower from the Guardians that will hinder their performance in this game. Currently, Cleveland has the lowest batting average in the MLB, hitting just .226 from the plate.

On the other hand, Baltimore’s pitcher, Wells, has been exceptional at limiting hits this year, allowing an average of only 5.68 hits per nine innings. When Wells takes the mound, the Orioles have a record of 6-3, indicating their success in his starts.

Our Pick: Guardians lose 5-2.

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