Guardians (31-35) at Padres (32-34) Game Preview | Wednesday 6/14 9:40 PM. EST.

June 14, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 2 of 3 Game Series Against the San Diego Padres

3 Things Preview Cleveland Guardians at San Diego Padres:

1 – Back-to-back

Aaron Civale is the bump tonight for the Guards as Civale is looking for back-to-back wins.  Civale pitched against the Padres last year, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up one earned, the Guardians did go on to win the game 3-1. 

2 – Andres Gimenez’s day-to-day

Last night Tyler Freeman got the start at 2nd base with Andres Gimenez held out of the starting lineup with left leg tightness.  Gimenez pinch hit in the 7th inning, grounding out to 3rd.

3 – Catcher situation

It was mentioned on the radio coverage last night that Manager Terry Francona will be playing Cam Gallagher more soon.  There was no mention of the status of Mike Zunino, but from rumblings, it sounds like it is only a matter of time before Bo Naylor is brought up.

Guardians Notes

The Guardians lost 6-3 in the interleague series opener Tuesday against the Padres. Cleveland ranks 27th in the majors in runs scored (253), although it has been picking up the pace lately. The Guardians have managed 75 runs across the past 14 outings, or 5.36 runs per game (RPG). That’s quite a bit better than their overall average of 3.83 RPG this season.

Guardians Stats and Insights

GUARDIANS PROBABLE PITCHER – Aaron Civale

  • Civale gets the start for the Guardians, his fifth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 23 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance was on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, when the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Civale is seeking his fifth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.8 innings per start.
  • He has had two appearances this season where he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Guardians were named the money line underdog for two Civale starts this season — they split the games.
  • Civale’s team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Civale has had four starts that bookmakers set a total for this season and two of those matchups finished over the total.

GUARDIANS HITTING TRENDS

  • They are 8-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has won seven of its 11 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 19 of the 38 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Cleveland has won 15 of its 20 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 10 of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres Notes

Like Cleveland, San Diego has had trouble scoring runs, posting just 280 runs through 66 games. That’s the 2nd-lowest mark in the National League, ahead of only the lowly Washington Nationals. However, also like Cleveland, the Padres have picked up the pace lately, posting 32 runs across the past 5 games, or 6.4 RPG, well ahead of the season average of 4.24 RPG.

Padres Stats and Insights

PADRES PROBABLE PITCHER – Michael Wacha

  • Wacha’s team is 9-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander allowed two hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday.
  • Wacha has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 12 chances. He averages 5.7 innings per outing.
  • In 12 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
  • Wacha’s team has a record of 5-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the money line.
  • Wacha’s team has won eight of his 12 starts.
  • In Wacha’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

PADRES HITTING TRENDS

  • The Padres have hit two or more homers in 27 games this season, and are 13-14 in those outings.
  • San Diego has gone 10-5 in its 15 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits in 33 games this season and is 25-8 in those contests.
  • San Diego is 26-3 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 27 games this season, and are 17-10 in those contests.

Final Thoughts/Pick

While the Guardians (+135) are 6-1 in the past 7 games following a loss, they’re just 4-10 in the past 14 interleague games and 5-11 in the previous 16 games on the road.

Our Pick: Take Padres and the money line!

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