Guardians (32-38) at Diamondbacks (43-28) Game Preview | Sunday 6/18 4:10 PM. EST.

June 18, 2023

Andy Billman

Series Finale Against the Arizona Diamondbacks

3 Things Preview Cleveland Guardians vs. Snakes:

1 – Bibee avoiding the sweep

Tanner Bibee will be on the mound today trying to stop the sweep of the Diamondbacks, and Zach Davies is on the bump for Arizona.  Davies does have an ERA above 5 and Vegas does have the Guards as the favorite today, so there is hopefulness to get a win today. 

2 – Time for Bo

Behind the plate, today for the Guardians will be Bo Naylor.  Bo comes into the game looking for his first MLB hit of the season as he is 0 for 2 in 2023. 

3 – Kwan 

For all of the struggles with the Guardians hitting and scoring runs in 2023, they do have a true leadoff hitter with Steven Kwan.  Kwan is quietly having a good season and he is one of the most consistent hitters in the Guardians lineup. He leads the team in runs, stolen bases, and at-bats and he is second with hits and doubles.  

Guardians Notes

Remember when the 2022 Cleveland Guardians finished 29th in home runs and knew they needed to improve upon that following an ALDS exit? Well, nearly halfway through 2023, the team is last in homers hit, resulting in a runs-per-game mark that’s 27th in the league. Their strikeout rate may be the second-lowest, but it’s hard to rack up hits with MLB’s worst hard-hit rate. The Guardians also don’t draw walks (25th in walk rate), so they can’t fully weaponize their speed without finding a hole in the defense. Cleveland is 16-5 when they score at least five runs. However, getting there is a tedious chore.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • Bibee’s team is 5-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in four innings against the San Diego Padres.
  • Bibee has made seven starts of five or more innings in nine chances this season and averages 5.3 frames when he pitches.
  • He has not pitched this season without allowing at least one earned run.
  • Bibee’s team has a record of 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Bibee’s team has won three of his nine starts.
  • Games started by Bibee have a 4-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.


  • The Guardians have an 8-2 record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • Cleveland is 7-4 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits 40 times this season, and has a 20-20 record in those games.
  • Cleveland has a 16-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Guardians are 10-9 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Diamondbacks Notes

Perched comfortably atop the NL West standings and within striking distance of the National League’s best record, the Diamondbacks are reminiscent of their successful 2011 season. This team has proven itself to be the real deal, primarily thanks to its formidable offense. While their walk rate ranks 21st, the Diamondbacks excel in almost every other aspect. They are fifth in runs per game, stolen bases, and slugging percentage, and they boast the third-lowest strikeout rate. Leading the charge is rookie Corbin Carroll, who currently tops the majors in Offensive WAR and offensive winning percentage. Keeping the Diamondbacks from scoring runs has proven to be quite challenging.

On the pitching side, they have been solid but not exceptional, ranking 18th in ERA. However, they have shown improvement as of late. Several bullpen pitchers have gained trust in high-pressure situations, which occur frequently due to the leads the team builds. The starting rotation plays a crucial role, and unfortunately, Zach Davies has struggled at home. He has allowed 16 runs (14 earned) in 16.1 innings pitched at home this season. In fact, Davies’ start on Tuesday was his worst outing of the year, surrendering six runs (four earned) in just 3.0 innings. During that span, he conceded six hits and three walks. While Davies has managed to limit home runs better than ever before in his career, he continues to face challenges with hits, walks, and runs.

Diamondbacks Stats and Insights


  • The Diamondbacks are sending Davies (1-2) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA and 26 strikeouts through 28 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed three innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Davies is trying to pick up his fourth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered one or more earned runs in each of his appearances.
  • The Diamondbacks have been the money line underdog in four of Davies’ starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
  • Davies’ team has a 4-2 record over his six starts.
  • Davies has started six contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.


  • They have won 22 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has gone 17-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-13.
  • Arizona has a 42-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-14

Final Thoughts/Pick

The offense has been a disappointment for the men on the mound. Despite Cleveland ranking eighth in team ERA, their bullpen is second only to the Yankees in that category. Usually, it’s the starting pitcher’s responsibility to hand over the ball to the strong relievers in a close game. This Sunday afternoon, Tanner Bibee will strive to fulfill that duty. Unfortunately, his previous start on the road was quite underwhelming. Against San Diego, Bibee endured a challenging outing, surrendering six runs and lasting only four innings. Considering Cleveland’s offensive struggles, such performances won’t often suffice. Nonetheless, Bibee has been having a commendable rookie season, boasting a 3.81 FIP and a 105 ERA+ after nine starts. However, he now faces a formidable offense following his recent unraveling against another NL West team. Both physically and mentally, this upcoming game will be a demanding test for Bibee.

Our Pick: Take Diamondbacks and Moneyline

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