Guardians (36-38) vs Brewer’s (38-36) Game Preview | Friday 6/23 7:10 PM. EST.

June 23, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 1 of 3 Against the Milwaukee Brewers

3 Things Preview Cleveland Guardians vs. Brewers:

1 – Chance for 5 

The Guardians have won four in a row coming into Friday’s game with the Brewers, but they have not five in a row yet this season.  In this four-game streak, they have outscored their opponent 28 to 12. 

2 – Guards pitching 

Shane Bieber is on the bump and he is leading a staff that is currently in the top 3rd of MLB when it comes to most pitching statistics.  Interestingly, the one stat they are near the bottom is strikeouts as the Guards are currently 28th.  A lot of complaints about Bieber’s strikeouts being down in 2023, but it is just not Bieber, and the pitching staff as a whole ranks well in most other statistics.   Yes, the Guardians are not striking out batters, but they are still getting outs and they are very efficient. 

3 – Will Brennan’s injury latest

Manager Terry Francona told that the team is hopeful that Will Brennan will not need an IL stint, but is unsure when he will be back in the lineup.

Guardians Notes

Cleveland finds itself with a subpar record, sitting three games below a .500 winning percentage. However, they are in close pursuit of the division-leading Minnesota in the AL Central standings, as only one game separates the two teams. Can the Guardians reclaim the Central Division title?

The offensive performance of Cleveland has been lackluster, scoring an average of 3.89 runs per game, ranking them 27th in the league. Their batting average stands at .245, placing them 17th, while their overall offensive production, measured by OPS, sits at .679, placing them 27th as well. In terms of power hitting, they have hit the fewest home runs in the league with 46 (30th), but their stolen base count of 55 ranks them 11th. On the pitching side, the team has performed decently, with a 3.85 ERA, ranking them 9th in the league, and a 1.29 WHIP, placing them 16th. The pitching staff has also recorded 29 quality starts.

Taking the mound for the Guardians on Thursday afternoon at Progressive Field is Allen. The young left-handed pitcher has struggled in his recent two outings, allowing a combined total of ten runs in nine innings against Houston and San Diego. However, he has shown consistency throughout the season, limiting seven of his opponents to three runs or fewer.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • Bieber (5-4) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 16th start of the season. He has a 3.51 ERA in 95 2/3 innings pitched, with 69 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander went 7 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.51, with 6.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .251 against him.
  • Bieber is looking to pick up his 11th quality start of the season in this outing.
  • Bieber will look to pitch five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 6.3 innings per outing.
  • In three of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
  • He will face a Brewers offense that ranks last in MLB with 547 total hits (on a .226 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .374 (27th in MLB) with 83 total home runs (17th in MLB).
  • The 28-year-old ranks 25th in ERA (3.51), 33rd in WHIP (1.221), and 59th in K/9 (6.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.


  • The Guardians’ 48 home runs rank last in MLB this season.
  • Hitters for Cleveland have combined to rank 28th in MLB with a team slugging percentage of just .370 this season.
  • The Guardians’ .246 batting average ranks 17th in the league this season.
  • Cleveland has scored 293 runs (just four per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.
  • The Guardians have an on-base percentage of .310 this season, which ranks 22nd in the league.
  • Cleveland has shown patience at the plate this season with the second-best rate of strikeouts per game (7.2) among MLB offenses.


In the current season, the Milwaukee Brewers have struggled at the plate, ranking 27th in the majors with a .677 OPS. Despite this, left fielder Christian Yelich has been performing exceptionally well. Yelich boasts an impressive .791 OPS and has stolen 16 bases. Over the past 15 games, he has maintained a strong slash line of .316/.391/.579, hitting two home runs, driving in seven runs, and demonstrating a solid 7:19 walk-to-strikeout ratio.

On the pitching side, Wade Miley is set to make his 10th start of the year. So far, he has been performing admirably with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP across 46.2 innings of work. Hitters have managed a decent .227 batting average against him thus far. In his most recent outing against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Miley secured a win by pitching five shutout innings, allowing only two hits and two walks while striking out four batters.

Brewers Stats and Insights


  • Miley (4-2 with a 3.28 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his 10th of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed five scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
  • The 36-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.28, with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .227 against him.
  • Miley is trying to pick up his fifth quality start of the year.
  • Miley heads into this matchup with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
  • He has had three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
  • He will match up with a Guardians offense that is hitting .246 as a unit (17th in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .370 (28th in the league) with 48 total home runs (30th in MLB play).


  • The Brewers rank 17th in baseball with 83 total home runs.
  • So far this year, Milwaukee is slugging .374, the fourth-lowest percentage in the majors.
  • The Brewers have the second-worst batting average in the majors (.226).
  • The offense for Milwaukee is No. 26 in MLB play scoring four runs per game (298 total runs).
  • The Brewers rank 25th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .303.

Final Thoughts/Pick

Wade Miley showcased his form in his previous start after a month-long hiatus, and facing a comparatively weaker Cleveland lineup should yield similar results. Both teams have maintained a roughly .500 record, but the Brew Crew boasts a formidable lineup featuring notable sluggers like Rowdy Tellez and Christian Yelich. Milwaukee has held a 16-16 record against American League teams this season, whereas Cleveland has struggled with an 8-13 record against National League opponents. Additionally, the Brewers have emerged victorious in five of their last six interleague away games against teams with losing records. Therefore, it would be wise to favor the Brewers as they hit the road as underdogs in this matchup.

The under is 6-2-2 in their last 10 games against one another so go with the under to hit in this matchup.

Our Pick: Take the under in this game

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