Guardians (38-40) vs Royals (22-57) Game Preview | Wednesday 6/28 8:10 PM. EST.

June 28, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 2 of 3 Against the Kansas City Royals

3 Things Preview Cleveland Guardians vs. Royals:

1 – Tito Francona health 

Guardians manager Terry Francona did not manage on Tuesday as he was not feeling well and went to a local hospital to undergo precautionary tests. No word if Francona will manage on Wednesday. 

2 – Lefty 

Logan Allen will be on the bump for the Guards as Allen has gotten three consecutive no-decisions and will be looking for his 4th win on the season.  The Royals have yet to announce a starter. 

3 – One run games 

No one has played more one-run games than Cleveland, as they have played 34 in total and are 16-18 on the season. 

Guardians Notes

The Guardians have been performing admirably in recent times, securing victories in five out of their last seven games. Currently trailing Minnesota by .5 games in the AL Central standings, they aim to narrow the gap by defeating the Royals. A triumph in this upcoming game would mark their sixth win in the last eight matches.

Cleveland maintains an average of 3.92 runs per game, with their batting average of .247 ranking them 17th in the league. Their on-base percentage of .311 places them at 22nd, while their slugging percentage of .372 stands at 27th.

Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland team in batting with a notable average of .293 and has hit 12 home runs. Josh Naylor holds the top spot for RBI, contributing 57 to the team’s performance.

On the pitching front, Cleveland has displayed commendable skill, allowing only 4.18 runs per game. Opposing teams hold a batting average of .244 against the Guardians, ranking them 17th in the league. Their earned run average (ERA) of 3.84 positions them at ninth, while their walks plus hits per inning pitched (WHIP) of 1.28 is 16th.

In his most recent start, Allen yielded only two hits and no runs across four innings, leading the team to a convincing 6-1 victory over Oakland. To secure another triumph, Cleveland will depend on a similar exceptional performance from him.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • Allen’s team is 8-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed four innings without allowing a run on two hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • In 11 starts this season, Allen has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 11 chances this season.
  • Allen’s team has won 60% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-2).
  • Allen’s team has won eight of his 11 starts.
  • In games Allen has started this season, the teams are 4-6-1 at hitting the over.


  • The Guardians have put up at least two homers in 10 games this season, and are 8-2 in those outings.
  • Cleveland is 9-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 45 times this season and has a 24-21 record in those games.
  • Cleveland has a 19-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Guardians are 11-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Royals Notes

The Royals have lost two consecutive games, bringing their record to just 22-57. At the moment, they are 5th in the AL Central. Through 25 series, the Royals have gone 3-20-2. The Royals’ record at home currently sits at 10-29 and 12-28 on the road.

Kansas City’s record against the run line sits at 28-51 while being favored 13 times in 79 games. The team’s over/under record comes in at 35-42 with an average betting line of 9.

Royals Stats and Insights


  • Cox will make his first start of the season for the Royals.
  • The left-hander is making his MLB debut at 26 years old.


  • They are 6-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-11.
  • They have a record of 17-30 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 24 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 14-10.
  • They have won two of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Final Thoughts/Pick

The Royals have struggled in five out of their last eight games and five out of their last six home games. Despite their recent slump, they have shown offensive prowess by scoring 15 runs in their last three home games. However, their offense will face a challenge in this particular game because Allen, who has been performing well in his recent starts, has only given up 12 runs in his last five starts. Furthermore, Allen has only allowed 10 runs in his last five road starts. Considering that Cleveland boasts the second-best bullpen in the league, the Royals will likely struggle to generate runs in this game.

On the other hand, the Guardians have been victorious in five out of their last seven games. They have been performing well offensively, scoring 15 runs in their previous four games. It is expected that they will continue their strong offensive performance in this game as well. This is mainly due to Kansas City’s pitching, which has been one of the weakest in the league. Additionally, the Royals have struggled to contain opposing teams, particularly at home, where they are giving up an average of over five runs per game. In fact, they have surrendered at least five runs in three of their last four encounters against the Guardians. Consequently, the Royals will find it challenging to slow down the Guardians’ offense in this game.

Considering the above factors, it is advisable to bet on Cleveland to cover the money line.

Our Pick: Take the Guardians and the Moneyline

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