Guardians (52-52) vs. White Sox (42-63) Game Preview | 7/29 7:10 PM

July 29, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 3 of 4 Against the Chicago White Sox

3 Things Preview Guardians vs. White Sox:

1 – Lefty Logan 

On the bump today for the Guardians is Logan Allen who will be looking to bounce back after losing to the Royals on Monday.  Allen will also look for his first win against the Chicago White Sox as he is 0-1 in two starts—no announced starter for the White Sox. 

2 –  Mayor of the Southside

Josh Naylor loves playing at Guaranteed Rate Field as he is currently 5 for 8 in the series with 3 RBIs.  On the opposite end, Josh Bell is 0 for 8 and Jose Ramirez is currently 1 for 9 in the series and 1-17 against the White Sox overall this year.. 

3 – AL Central Check In 

The Royals helped out the Guardians last night with a walk-off grand slam victory keeping the Twins only a game and a half up on the Guardians in the standings. 

Guardians Notes

On Saturday, Logan Allen will take the mound for the Guardians. In his last outing against the Royals, he stumbled, conceding five runs (four earned) in seven innings, and was handed the loss. However, before that game, he had an impressive streak of three consecutive outings without allowing any runs. So far this season, he holds a 4-3 record with a 3.39 ERA, and a 1.33 WHIP, and has pitched 74.1 innings.

When facing the White Sox, Allen has been effective, limiting them to only four runs in 11.1 innings throughout his career.

Cleveland has been in close contention for the top spot in the AL Central throughout the season, having won the division last year. As of Friday night, they are only 1.5 games behind the leader. The team is eagerly anticipating the return of Bieber, a valuable player, later in the season.

Recently, the Guardians have had a successful run, winning three consecutive series, notably against the Phillies and the Royals.

On the offensive side, Jose Ramirez’s performance at the plate has been mediocre lately, managing only five RBIs and a .744 OPS this month. Nevertheless, he has a total of 16 home runs, 60 RBIs, and a solid .853 OPS for the entire season. However, Ramirez has struggled against the White Sox, recording only one hit in 17 at-bats and no RBIs this season.

Cleveland’s overall scoring average stands at 4.21 runs per game, ranking them 24th in the league. On the other hand, their pitching has been more solid, boasting a team ERA of 3.81, which places them seventh in the league.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of just .196 (46 PAs) over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd best in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .301 — 97th Percentile.
  • Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of just .189 (37 PAs) against right-handed batters — 7th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .299 — 91st Percentile.
  • Logan Allen had a strike rate of 75% (63/84) — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
  • Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 (1 GB hit out of 20 GBs) against Logan Allen with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.


  • Guardians hitters have just 1,307 strikeouts in 7,355 PAs (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
  • Guardians hitters have just 722 strikeouts in 3,934 PAs (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
  • Guardians hitters have just 537 strikeouts in 2,742 PAs (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
  • Guardians hitters have just 1,844 strikeouts in 10,097 PAs (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox Notes

After a stint on the IL, Mike Clevinger is set to make his return to the field. He last pitched on June 14th and put on an impressive performance, pitching 4.2 shutout innings against the Dodgers. Throughout the season, the veteran right-hander has been reliable, maintaining a 3.88 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP with a 3-4 record in 62.2 innings pitched. Notably, in his only meeting with the Guardians this season, Clevinger limited them to just two runs in six innings, and in his career, he has conceded seven runs in 16.2 innings against the rival team.

On the other hand, Chicago has been struggling to maintain momentum. Although they managed to surprise everyone with a series win against the Braves, they have since dropped three consecutive series, including a loss against the Cubs this week. Their performance at home has been disappointing, losing each of their last three home series, and they have a poor record of 2-8 in their last ten games. The organization has already made some trades, sending Giolito, Lynn, Kelly, and Graveman for prospects.

Despite the team’s struggles, Luis Robert has been a shining star for the White Sox. The 25-year-old outfielder is hitting .260 with a .726 OPS against the Guardians this season. He has been their most consistent hitter, delivering 28 home runs, 58 RBIs, and an impressive .875 OPS. Throughout the month, Robert has already collected 12 RBIs.

However, the team’s offensive performance has been lackluster, averaging 4.19 runs, placing them 24th in the league. The pitching has also been a cause for concern, reporting a 4.70 team ERA, ranking them 25th overall.

White Sox Stats and Insights


  • Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
  • White Sox pitchers have walked 411 of 4,077 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
  • Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
  • Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.


  • White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .455 (2,073 PAs) with two strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
  • White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .215 (2,073 PAs) with two strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
  • White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
  • White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (2,099 PAs) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Final Thoughts/Pick

Guardians have had a mixed performance in their recent road games, winning three out of their last eight. On the other hand, the White Sox, while not outstanding overall, have shown great prowess against the Guardians this season, triumphing in five out of eight meetings. Notably, they secured a 3-0 victory on Friday.

Adding to the challenge for the Guardians, their starting pitcher Logan Allen is a rookie. His performance last month was below par with a 4.76 ERA, and he has made only two starts this month. Being a left-handed pitcher, he faces a formidable task as the White Sox have demonstrated a strong ability to perform against lefty starters, boasting a solid .742 OPS compared to a lesser .665 OPS against right-handed starters.

In contrast, the White Sox’s starting pitcher, Mike Clevinger, has proven to be effective against his former team, the Guardians. In their sole encounter this season, he managed to limit them to just two runs over six innings.

Our Pick: Take White Sox and the Money Line

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