Guardians (52-53) vs. White Sox (43-63) Game Preview | 7/30 2:10 PM

July 30, 2023

Andy Billman

Series Finale Against the Chicago White Sox

3 Things Preview Guardians vs. White Sox:

1 – Civale on Fire 

On the bump for the Guardians is Aaron Civale who is having a fantastic July with an ERA of 1.72 for the month of July and he has not lost so far in this current month. Speaking of hot, click on the link to check out our Believe In the Land merchandise store.

2 – Kwan 

It is not just Josh Naylor who is tearing it up on the Southside, even in a losing effort Steven Kwan had a 3 for 4 night on Saturday and so far in the series is 5 for 12.

3 – AL Central Check-In (Slowly clicks on standings)

Even with the frustration of losing two in a row in Chicago, the Guards are still only 1 and 1/2 games out of first place as the Royals keep winning, which means the Twins keep losing.

Guardians Notes

Despite facing injuries throughout the year, the Cleveland Guardians find themselves in a closely contested battle with the Twins in the AL Central, with only a 1.5-game difference between them. Every game now holds even more significance, despite the team’s recent 5-5 record in the last 10 games. The Guardians have struggled away from home, managing a 5-7 record in their past 12 games on the road and going 5-5 in their last 10 games against teams with a sub-.500 record. To secure a spot in the postseason, they must improve their performance in these matchups.

Taking the mound for Cleveland is Aaron Civale, who has been consistently solid throughout the season, boasting a 4-2 record and an impressive 2.54 ERA over 71 innings. His performance will be crucial for the team’s success as they head towards the end of the season. In his last five outings, Civale has continued to shine, allowing just six earned runs in the past 31.1 innings. The team’s success will heavily rely on Civale and the rest of the rotation finding their stride and delivering strong performances.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • When Civale starts, his team is 7-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed eight innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • Civale will look to finish five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 12 chances this season.
  • When Civale starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-3.
  • Civale’s team is 6-6 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Civale have a 6-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.


  • The Guardians have a 15-5 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
  • Cleveland has gone 16-5 in its 21 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits in 67 games this season, and is 37-30 in those contests.
  • Cleveland has a 32-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Guardians have gone 14-9 over the 23 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

White Sox Notes

In 2023, the Chicago White Sox have been rather disappointing in their baseball performance, falling behind in what should have been an easy division race. Having secured only three wins in their last ten games, their track record has not been favorable. However, there’s a glimmer of hope as they have managed to defeat the Guardians in their two recent encounters. Their home games have not been fruitful, with a record of 3 wins and 8 losses in their last 11 matches. Despite this, they are determined to thwart the Guardians’ chances, motivating them to rise to the occasion.

Taking the mound for Chicago is the seasoned right-hander, Michael Kopech. Despite holding a 4-9 record with a 4.44 ERA, he has been quite reliable throughout 2023, making 19 starts and pitching for 98 innings. In his last five games, he has experienced some tough luck, earning only one win while maintaining an impressive 2.80 ERA. Notably, his standout performance of the year was against the Guardians, where he threw an impressive 7 innings, allowing zero earned runs, just 2 hits, and striking out 9 batters. He is eager to replicate that success and maintain his momentum going forward.

White Sox Stats and Insights


  • Kopech gets the start for the White Sox, his 20th of the season. He is 4-9 with a 4.44 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 97 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • Kopech will try to continue a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing).
  • He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The White Sox have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Kopech’s starts this season, and they went 5-8 in those games.
  • Kopech’s team has put together a 7-12 record in his 19 starts.
  • Kopech has had 19 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those matchups hit the over.


  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 18-18 in those matchups.
  • Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 34 of the 64 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has a 28-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 7-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Final Thoughts/Pick

Despite being in a closely contested division, the Cleveland Guardians have consistently displayed remarkable performance throughout the year. However, the tides seem to be turning as the White Sox come into this game with high spirits following their significant victories in the last two matches of the series.

In their recent ten head-to-head encounters, the White Sox have emerged victorious in six of them, with an impressive record of 6-4. In the last five meetings alone, they have outscored Cleveland 23-10. Although Cleveland has more at stake in the division, this game presents a perfect opportunity for Chicago to play the role of a spoiler.

Our Pick: Take White Sox and the Money Line

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