Guardians (53-56) vs. White Sox (43-67) Game Preview | 8/4 7:10 PM

August 4, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 1 of the Series Against the Chicago White Sox


3 Things Preview For Todays Game:

1 – Lefty Logan 

Toeing the mound on Friday night for the Guardians will be Logan Allen, who will be looking to bounce back after his last performance against the White Sox.  Mike Clevinger, former Cleveland pitcher, will be on the bump for Chicago. 

2 – Tough stretch 

Been a tough stretch for the Guards, losers of five of six after getting swept by the Astros.  The Guardians have had their struggles with the White Sox as well, going 4-6 so far in 2023. 

3 – Gimenez slump 

Hopefully, Andres Gimenez can get into a hitting grove back at home this week. He has been in a prolonged slump, with only three hits in his last 29 at-bats. Frankly, he is not the same player in 2023 compared to 2022. Last season Gimenez hit .297 with a WAR of 7.2. This season he is hitting .223 with a WAR of 2.3.


Guardians Notes

The Guardians had a challenging seven-game road trip, suffering defeats in five of those matchups. However, they’re now back on their home turf, where they’ve managed to secure victory in four out of their last six games. They’re aiming to maintain this positive momentum as they face off against the White Sox, pursuing what could be their fifth triumph in the most recent seven games played at home.

Cleveland maintains an average of 4.09 runs per game, accompanied by a batting average of .251 which positions them 15th in the league. Their on-base percentage of .314 ranks 20th, while their slugging percentage of .382 places them 26th.

At the forefront of the Guardians’ offensive performance is Josh Naylor, boasting an impressive .306 batting average and contributing significantly with 79 RBI. Meanwhile, Jose Ramirez has taken the lead in the home run category, having smashed 18 homers so far.

Turning the spotlight to Cleveland’s pitching prowess, the team has performed admirably, allowing an average of 4.10 runs per game. Their opponents are batting .242 against the Guardians, positioning them ninth in the league in this regard. The team’s ERA stands at a respectable seventh place with 3.85, and their WHIP of 1.28 ranks 17th.

In the previous outing, Logan Allen struggled, conceding eight hits and five runs over the course of six innings, culminating in a 7-2 defeat at the hands of the White Sox. A more robust performance will be essential from him if the Guardians aspire to clinch victory in this upcoming game.

There’s uncertainty surrounding the availability of Josh Naylor (Side) for this game, with his participation labeled as questionable.

Guardians Stats and Insights

GUARDIANS PROBABLE PITCHER – Logan Allen

  • Allen and his team have a record of 10-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Saturday.
  • Allen will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has made 15 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Allen starts a game and his team is the favorite on the money line, they have a record of 4-4.
  • In games Allen has started, his team is 10-5.
  • Games started by Allen have a 6-7-2 record at hitting the over this season.

GUARDIANS HITTING TRENDS

  • The Guardians have a 16-5 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • Cleveland is 16-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits 68 times this season and has a 37-31 record in those games.
  • Cleveland is 33-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 15-10 in those contests.

White Sox Notes

After securing victories in two consecutive games, the White Sox faced a setback, suffering defeat in their last three matchups. Their upcoming challenge involves striving for a comeback as they aim to conquer the Guardians. A victory in this game would mark their third win out of the past six matches and position them in the lead for the series.

In terms of offensive performance, Chicago has been averaging 4.10 runs per game. However, their batting average of .236 ranks 25th among all teams in the league. Additionally, their on-base percentage of .294 holds the 30th spot, while their slugging percentage of .386 places them at 24th.

Taking a look at individual player statistics, Andrew Benintendi leads the Chicago team with a batting average of .277. On the power front, Luis Robert Jr. takes the lead with an impressive record of 29 home runs and 60 RBI.

The pitching aspect of Chicago’s performance has faced challenges, allowing an average of 4.97 runs per game. When it comes to opponent batting averages, the White Sox defense holds a middle-ground position at 15th place, with a .245 batting average against them. The team’s ERA of 4.64 ranks 25th, while their WHIP of 1.4 places them at 24th.

In the recent outing by Clevinger, he showcased exceptional form by conceding only two hits and no runs across five innings, leading the team to a convincing 7-2 victory over Cleveland. A similar remarkable performance will be pivotal if Chicago aims to secure another win.

White Sox Stats and Insights

WHITE SOX PROBABLE PITCHER – Mike Clevinger

  • The White Sox will send Clevinger (4-4) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 67 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Clevinger is looking to record his 12th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He is trying to make his third straight appearance with no earned runs given up.
  • The White Sox have a 4-6 record in Clevinger’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the money line.
  • In Clevinger’s 13 starts, his team is 7-6.
  • Clevinger has had 13 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those matchups hit the over.

WHITE SOX HITTING TRENDS

  • They are 18-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 34 of the 65 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has won 28 of its 39 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won seven of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Final Thoughts/Pick

The Guardians have had a tough stretch, dropping five out of their last six games. Their offensive performance has been lackluster, managing only five runs across their past three games. This trend of offensive struggles is anticipated to persist in the upcoming match due to Clevinger’s recent dominance on the pitching mound. Over his last four starts, Clevinger has given up a mere three runs. Notably, he allowed only three runs combined in his last two away games and two runs in his previous encounters with the Guardians. It’s likely that he will continue to stifle their offense.

Conversely, the White Sox have encountered their own struggles, losing three of their last five games. Their offensive output has also been subpar during this period, tallying just eight runs over their past four games. However, their fortunes are projected to change offensively in the impending game. The White Sox have shown proficiency when facing left-handed pitchers, and Allen’s recent performances haven’t been impressive, conceding a total of 10 runs in his last two starts. Furthermore, Allen’s difficulties extend to his history of facing the White Sox, having given up a total of 10 runs across three career starts against them. This suggests that Allen might face challenges in containing their offense during this game.

Considering these factors, it’s a reasonable choice to favor Chicago to cover the money line.

Our Pick: Take White Sox and the Money Line

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