Guardians vs. White Sox Game Preview | Mon 6:10 PM. EST. 5/22

May 22, 2023

Andy Billman

Is it Time to Hit the Panic Button?

3 things Preview Guardians vs. White Sox:

1 – Time to turn it around  

In baseball, it can sometimes feel like an endless hourglass with ample time to catch up and get the season on track. That said, the Guardians need to start winning games against teams they should beat.  Enter the Chicago White Sox.

2 – Hunter Gaddis 

Cleveland needs a spot start from Hunter Gaddis as Peyton Battenfield was put on the IL with shoulder inflammation. Gaddis is on the bump Monday for the Guards. 

3 – Andres Gimenez struggles

It has been a rough month of May for Andres Gimenez who is only hitting .189 with only one run scored in the month. The Guardians need Gimenez to start producing like he did in 2022. 

Guardians Notes

Cleveland is four games under .500 and just four games out of first in the division title race. Is it time for the Guardians to make a move up the standings? Cleveland averages 3.61 runs per game (28th) and hits .230 (26th) with a .648 OPS (29th). It’s hit 26 long balls (30th) and stolen 45 bases (4th) this year. The Guardians’ pitching staff has compiled a 3.91 ERA (9th) and a 1.28 WHIP (13th) with 19 quality starts.

Gaddis gets the start for Cleveland in game one of the series. The 6-foot-6 righty has not started since April 25th, when he gave up three earned runs on eight hits in five innings versus Detroit. He pitched well in relief on April 22nd, holding Miami scoreless in two innings of work. Gaddis sports a 13:6 K: BB ratio in 19.2 frames this year.

Guards Stats and Insights

GUARDIANS PROBABLE PITCHER – Hunter Gaddis

  • Gaddis has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday, April 22 when he threw two scoreless innings out of the bullpen against the Miami Marlins without allowing a hit.
  • Gaddis’ team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Gaddis’ team has won one of his three starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Gaddis this season, the teams hit the over once.

GUARDIANS HITTING TRENDS

  • The Guardians are 4-2 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Cleveland has gone 3-4 in its seven games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 11-12 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Cleveland is 9-3 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Guardians are 8-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

White Sox Notes

Chicago recently took two of three from Cleveland in Chicago but can it replicate its success on the road? The Southsiders recorded their first series sweep, and look to carry the momentum into Monday’s series opener.

The White Sox find themselves 10 games under .500 after a dismal start, but they relieved some of the pressure surrounding the team during a three-game sweep of the Kansas City Royals over the weekend.

Luis Robert Jr. homered in Sunday’s 5-2 victory, while Romy Gonzalez contributed three hits, including a two-run triple. Chicago held the Royals to a total of three runs in the series.

The White Sox scored 4.21 runs per game (22nd) and hit .242 (18th) with a .694 OPS (22nd). They’ve hit 50 homers (17th) and stolen 26 bases (24th) in 2023. The Chicago pitching staff has posted a 5.06 ERA (27th) and a 1.43 WHIP (25th) with 18 quality starts.

White Sox Stats and Insights

WHITE SOX PROBABLE PITCHER – Jimmy Lambert

  • The White Sox are sending Lambert (2-1) to make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Saturday, May 13 against the Houston Astros, when he threw one inning, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
  • The White Sox were the underdog on the money line for one Lambert start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Lambert’s only start with a total this season went under.

WHITE SOX HITTING TRENDS

  • They are 7-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has won six of its nine games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 30 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 16-14.
  • Chicago has a 12-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won two of their six games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Final Thoughts

The Chicago White Sox have been performing well recently, winning five out of their last six games. Additionally, they have a strong record against teams with losing records, winning four out of their last five matchups, and have been successful in their last five games played in Cleveland.

The Guardians have been struggling. They have lost all five of their previous game-one matchups in the series and have only won one out of their last six games with a total set between 9.0 and 10.5. Furthermore, they have a poor record against teams with a winning percentage below .400, winning only two out of their last eight games in such matchups. They have also struggled against starting pitchers with a WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) greater than 1.30, losing 12 out of their last 16 games against such pitchers.

Considering these factors, we are betting on the Chicago White Sox to win outright, even though they are considered underdogs for this game. Their pitcher, Clevinger, may not be a young player anymore, but he has shown a renewed sense of confidence this year. He has limited six out of his nine opponents to three runs or fewer and had a solid performance against the Guardians in his last game. In his previous three appearances against Cleveland since last season, he has allowed seven earned runs in 16.2 innings while striking out 13 batters. I believe he will continue to perform well on Monday.

On the other hand, Gaddis struggled in his lone start against the White Sox in September of last year, giving up seven runs on eight hits, including five home runs. He has only managed to pitch beyond the sixth inning once this season, which could pose a problem for manager Terry Francona, especially considering the Guardians played a doubleheader on Sunday against the New York Mets. If Gaddis struggles or fails to provide Cleveland with sufficient innings, their bullpen could face a challenging night.

Taking all these factors into account, I believe the Chicago White Sox have a good chance of winning as underdogs in the first game of this three-game series.

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