Twins at Guardians Preview Game 3 | Sun 1:40 PM. EST. 5/7/23

May 7, 2023

Andy Billman

Time to Win a Series!

3 Things: Guards and Twins Game 3:

1 – A series win

Guardians have not won a series since the middle of April against the Washington Nationals, losing 5 in a row.  A win today ends the streak.

2 – Cal Quantrill

Quantrill, who has been dominant at home throughout his career, has last both home starts so far in 2023 and looks to turn that around today as he is on the bump. 

3 – Oscar Gonzalez sent down

Gonzalez was sent down to Columbus yesterday as Tyler Freeman was brought up.  Gonzalez is having typical 2nd-year struggles, which is not unusual for MLB  hitters.  Don’t be surprised to see Gonzalez again later this season.

Guardians Notes

After their victory over Minnesota, Cleveland improved their record to 15-18. The Guardians ended their three-game losing streak with a home win last night and will aim to continue their momentum. Cleveland’s offense has been averaging 3.85 runs per game with a batting average of .232 and a .311 on-base percentage. The pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez has been on a hitting streak, recording at least one hit in each of the last nine games and leading the team with a batting average of .283. Josh Naylor now holds the team record for RBI after a strong performance in April, scoring 19 runs. Steven Kwan is also on a hitting streak, with four consecutive games, and is closely behind JRam in team batting with an average of .278.

Guards Stats and Insights

GUARDIANS PROBABLE PITCHER – Cal Quantrill

  • Quantrill gets the start for the Guardians, his seventh of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.73 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Monday against the New York Yankees, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up a 4.73 ERA and 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings over six games this season while allowing a batting average of .287 to opposing batters.
  • Quantrill is trying to record his fourth quality start of the season in this outing.
  • Quantrill has pitched five or more innings in a game four times this season heading into this matchup.
  • He will face off against a Twins offense that ranks 26th in the league with 254 total hits (on a .224 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .396 (16th in the league) with 45 total home runs (sixth in MLB play).

GUARDIANS HITTING TRENDS

  • The Guardians are last in MLB play with 18 home runs.
  • This season, Cleveland’s .332 slugging percentage is the lowest percentage in baseball.
  • The Guardians rank 29th in MLB with a .223 batting average.
  • Cleveland scores the third-fewest runs in baseball (120 total, 3.6 per game).
  • The Guardians rank 24th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .302.

Twins Notes

After being defeated by Cleveland, Minnesota’s record now stands at 19-15. The Twins have unfortunately suffered yet another one-run loss, and are hoping to avoid their second consecutive series loss at the start of this month. Currently, the Minnesota offense is averaging 3.7 runs per game, with a team batting average of .240 and a .312 on-base percentage. Jorge Polanco has been performing well since his late April return, having registered a hit in eight of the last ten games and leading the Twins with a batting average of .300. Similarly, Byron Buxton has also notched a hit in eight of the last ten games, and is leading the team in both runs (21) and RBI (19).

Twins Stats and Insights

TWINS PROBABLE PITCHER – Joe Ryan

  • Ryan makes the start for the Twins, his seventh of the season. He is 5-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Chicago White Sox when the right-hander threw six scoreless innings while allowing only one hit.
  • In six games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.37, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .169 against him.
  • Ryan is trying to build upon a fourth-game quality start streak in this matchup.
  • Ryan will look to go five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 6.3 frames per outing.
  • He will face a Guardians offense that ranks 28th in the league with 120 runs while batting .223 as a unit. It has a collective .332 slugging percentage (30th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 18 home runs (30th in MLB).
  • This season, the 26-year-old ranks 12th in ERA (2.37), first in WHIP (.763), and 18th in K/9 (10.2) among pitchers who qualify.

TWINS HITTING TRENDS

  • The Twins’ 45 home runs rank sixth in Major League Baseball.
  • The offense for Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .396 this season, 16th in MLB.
  • The Twins have a team batting average of just .224 this season, which ranks 28th among MLB teams.
  • Minnesota has scored the 12th-most runs in the majors this season with 152 (4.5 per game).
  • The Twins are among the worst in the league at getting on base, ranking 26th with an OBP of .301.
  • Minnesota ranks just 29th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.7 whiffs per contest.

Final Thoughts

This season, Minnesota has a 19-15 record against the spread and a 14-17-3 record for over/under. Meanwhile, Cleveland’s ATS record stands at 13-21, with an over/under record of 11-21-1.

Minnesota appears to have the advantage with one of the league’s best young pitchers, Joe Ryan, on the mound. With his consistent performance in his six previous starts and adequate run support, the Twins on paper take this game from the Guards. It should be another low-scoring and close match.

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