Guardians (24-29) vs. Orioles (34-20) Game Preview | Tue 7:05 PM. EST. 5/30

May 30, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 2 of 3 Against the Orioles.

3 Things Preview Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles:

1 – Quantrill Bounce back

Cal Quantrill is on the bump today for the Guards.  He will be looking to bounce back as in his last two starts he has logged 9.2 IP giving up 9 earned, not good. 

2 – Gabriel Arias 

Even though he has not found his groove at the plate, Gabriel Arias looks the part in the field.  Arias had multiple great defensive plays at third base.  It will be interesting to see if Tyler Freeman gets some at-bats this week, but as of now, it looks like Francona wants to give Arias a serious look.

3 – Three in a row

Guardians will try to win three in a row today in Baltimore.  The last time the Guards won three in a row in 2023 was the opening week when Cleveland won four in a row from March 31st thru April 3rd.  

Guardians Notes

In the first game, Cleveland took care of business, shutting out the Orioles with a 5-0 victory. Logan Allen, the starting pitcher for the Guardians, delivered an impressive performance, allowing only three hits in seven innings while achieving a career-high of ten strikeouts. Currently, Cleveland is three games behind the first-place team in the AL Central division.

The Guardians have struggled offensively in the 2023 season, averaging 3.45 runs per game (ranking 29th), with a batting average of .227 (ranking 28th) and a .638 OPS (ranking 30th). They have hit 30 home runs (ranking 30th) but have shown strength in their base-stealing abilities with 46 stolen bases (ranking 4th). On the pitching side, the Cleveland staff has displayed a solid performance with a 3.69 ERA (ranking 6th) and a 1.24 WHIP (ranking 8th), featuring 26 quality starts.

Taking the mound for the Guardians in game two will be Quantrill, who aims to bounce back after surrendering six runs to the White Sox in his previous start.

Guards Stats and Insights


  • Quantrill (2-3) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.75 ERA in 55 2/3 innings pitched, with 31 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Chicago White Sox, the righty tossed four innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Quantrill is looking to record his eighth start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • The Guardians have a 3-1 record in Quantrill’s four starts this season when they were the money line underdog.
  • Over Quantrill’s 10 starts, his team is 6-4.
  • Quantrill has had nine starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and two of those matchups hit the over.


  • The Guardians have hit the fewest home runs in baseball this season (30).
  • So far this year, Cleveland is slugging .339, the lowest percentage in the majors.
  • The Guardians are 28th in the majors with a .226 batting average.
  • Cleveland scores the fewest runs in baseball (183 total, 3.5 per game).
  • The Guardians rank 29th in baseball with a .296 on-base percentage.

Orioles Notes

In the series opener, Baltimore failed to score any runs, leaving seven runners stranded on base. Additionally, the Orioles faced a setback as outfielder Cedric Mullins had to leave the game in the eighth inning due to a groin injury.

During the 2023 season, the Orioles have averaged 4.91 runs per game (ranking 8th), with a batting average of .249 (ranking 15th) and a .742 OPS (ranking 11th). They have hit 64 home runs (ranking 11th) and stolen 45 bases (ranking 5th). On the pitching side, the Baltimore staff has maintained a 4.08 ERA (ranking 13th) and a 1.31 WHIP (ranking 17th), while delivering 17 quality starts.

Taking the mound for the home team on Tuesday night will be Gibson, a seasoned right-handed pitcher. In his recent start, he shut out the Yankees, allowing only two hits across seven innings. Gibson also performed well in his previous outing against Toronto, holding the Blue Jays to just one run on five hits in seven frames. Throughout the 2023 season, Gibson has maintained a 2:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Orioles Stats and Insights


  • Gibson and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander allowed two hits in seven scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Thursday.
  • Gibson will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • When Gibson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-2.
  • Gibson’s team has a 7-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Gibson has started this season, the teams are 2-7-0 at hitting the over.


  • The Orioles’ 64 home runs rank 11th in Major League Baseball.
  • The offense for Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .417 this season, 12th in MLB.
  • The Orioles’ .249 batting average ranks 15th in the league this season.
  • Baltimore has scored the eighth-most runs in the majors this season with 265.
  • The Orioles have an on-base percentage of .324 this season, which ranks 14th in the league.
  • Baltimore ranks eighth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.2 whiffs per contest.

Final Thoughts/Pick

The Guardians have had a strong track record in recent meetings with the Orioles, winning 8 out of the last 11 matchups between the two teams. They have also performed well against teams with winning records, winning 5 out of their last 7 games in such situations. Additionally, they have a favorable record of 19-9 in their last 28 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.

On the other hand, the Orioles have struggled in certain scenarios, losing their last four games when their opponent has allowed two runs or less in their previous game. They have also faced difficulties in their last four home games when the total score is set between 7.0 and 8.5, losing all of them. Overall, they have a record of 1-4 in their last five home games.

Based on these factors, the Guardians should keep the winning streak going and win on Tuesday night. Quantrill has performed well in his last two starts against the Orioles, limiting them to two runs and four hits in a total of ten innings. He also secured a win in his only appearance against them last year. Aside from his most recent start, Quantrill has been in good form, allowing only eight runs in 26 innings against his previous four opponents.

While the Orioles may be considered the stronger team overall, they are currently facing some challenges. They have lost three out of their last four games and suffered an injury to Mullins on Monday. Although Gibson, the Orioles’ pitcher, hasn’t faced the Guardians in a few years, his career record against Cleveland is not impressive, with a 3-10 record and a 5.59 ERA in 21 appearances.

Considering these factors, we believe there is significant betting value in choosing the Guardians to win once again on Tuesday at Camden Yards.

Our Pick: Guardians ML.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Sign Up For Our Newsletter

If you're a fan of Cleveland sports and want to stay up-to-date with the latest news, scores, and insights on your favorite teams, signing up for the Cleveland sports newsletter is a no-brainer.

Copyright © 2024 Believe In The Land

threads icon