Guardians (31-36) at Padres (33-34) Game Preview | Thursday 6/15 8:40 PM. EST.

June 15, 2023

Andy Billman

Series Finale Against the San Diego Padres

3 Things Preview Cleveland Guardians at San Diego Padres:

1 – Lefty vs. Lefty 

The Guardians’ most consistent pitcher is on the mound tonight, rookie Logan Allen, left-handed, is on the bump while lefty Ryan Weathers starts for San Diego.  

2 – Rosario running into outs 

Amed Rosario is having a tough run in this series when it comes to the base path.  Rosario on Tuesday ran into a ball going from 1st to 2nd causing the third out in the top of the 1st and last night he hit a single into right field in the 9th but overran the bag, and Fernando Tatis Jrpicked off Rosario. 

3 – Naylor hitting streak 

In the 5th inning, Josh Naylor’s single extended his hit streak to 13 games, the longest active hit streak in MLB.

Guardians Notes

The Cleveland Guardians are 31-36 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Cleveland won two out of three games against Houston. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Guardians’ offense has scored 253 runs with a .241 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .281 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 51.2 innings pitched this season.

Guardians Stats and Insights


  • Allen (3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Guardians, his 10th of the season.
  • His last time out was on Friday against the Houston Astros, when the left-hander tossed six innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.31, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season. Opponents are batting .277 against him.
  • Allen is trying to record his fifth quality start of the season in this game.
  • Allen is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his nine appearances this season.
  • He will take the hill against a Padres team that is batting .228 as a unit (28th in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .397 (18th in the league) with 81 total home runs (10th in MLB play).


  • The Guardians have hit 43 home runs this season, the lowest total in MLB action.
  • So far this year, Cleveland’s .362 slugging percentage is the third-lowest percentage in the majors.
  • The Guardians have the 20th-ranked batting average in the majors (.240).
  • Cleveland scores the second-fewest runs in baseball (253 total, 3.8 per game).
  • The Guardians rank 24th in MLB with an on-base percentage of .307.

Padres Notes

The San Diego Padres are 33-34 this season and they have won five of their last six games. San Diego has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-3 and 5-0. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 285 runs with a .229 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis is batting .283 with 14 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Ryan Weathers, who is 1-4 with a 4.93 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this season. 

Padres Stats and Insights


  • Weathers gets the start for the Padres, his ninth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 38 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty last appeared on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went three innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 5.17, with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 10 games this season. Opponents are hitting .292 against him.
  • Weathers is looking to collect his second quality start of the year.
  • Weathers has put together five starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • In two of his 10 total appearances this season, he has not allowed an earned run.
  • He will face a Guardians offense that ranks 29th in the league with 253 runs while batting .240 as a unit. It has a collective .362 slugging percentage (28th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 43 home runs (30th in MLB).


  • The Padres rank 10th in Major League Baseball with 81 home runs.
  • Hitters for San Diego have combined for a team rank of 18th in the majors with a .397 team slugging percentage.
  • The Padres rank 28th in MLB with a team batting average of just .228.
  • San Diego has scored 285 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.
  • The Padres have an OBP of .318 this season, which ranks 17th in MLB.
  • San Diego ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.8 whiffs per contest.

Final Thoughts/Pick

The Padres have played better over the last week or so and they are almost back to .500 on the year. San Diego is starting Ryan Weathers, who has allowed 1, 4, 3, 4, and 4 earned runs over his last five starts. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who has allowed seven earned runs over his last two starts (12 IP). The under has been a great pick in these two teams’ recent game three’s of a series and I like the under here as well.

Our Pick: Take Padres and the Over

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