Guardians (60-66) vs Dodgers (76-48) Match-Up Preview | 8/23 7:10 PM EST

August 23, 2023

Andy Billman

Game 2 Against the Los Angeles Dodgers


3 Things Preview For Today’s Game:

1 –  X-Man

Xzavion Curry is back on the bump for the Guardians on Wednesday night, Curry had a solid start his last time out going six strong while only giving up one run against the Tigers. 

2 – Calhoun

Since coming over to the Guardians, Kole Calhoun is batting over 300 at .306 with two home runs and nine RBIs.  Calhoun has also shown a good glove when playing first base with no errors over the past two weeks.

3 –  Francona 

Cleveland manager Terry Francona before the game discussed his future after the season with the club and hinted that is unsure if he will be back in the dugout for the Guardians, but did not make a formal announcement at this time.  


Guardians Notes

Last week, the Cleveland Guardians had a mixed performance with a 2-4 record. They split a two-game series on the road against the Cincinnati Reds and faced a setback by losing three out of four games at home against the Detroit Tigers. In the four-game series against the Tigers, Cleveland struggled to score, managing just ten runs in total. As a result, they fell six games behind the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central division.

Throughout the entire season, the Guardians have faced challenges in their hitting performance. Over the past two weeks, their slash line stands at .235/.289/.343. In terms of hitting, they’ve hit 22 doubles, three triples, and five home runs out of 396 at-bats. On the pitching side, the team maintains a season-long ERA of 3.76, which ranks them third in the majors. In recent weeks, their pitching staff has performed with a 3.15 ERA, and 1.26 WHIP, and opponents have a .248 batting average against them.

Taking the mound on Wednesday will be right-hander Xzavion Curry. He holds a respectable record of 3 wins and 1 loss this season, accompanied by a solid 3.24 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. In his six starts and 25 relief appearances totaling 75 innings pitched, Curry has managed a 52/21 K/BB ratio. This August marks his fourth consecutive start, and his performance in the previous three has been consistent. Across 16 innings, he allowed eight earned runs on 15 hits and four walks, resulting in a 4.50 ERA and a 3.46 FIP. Despite his efforts, he has not secured a decision in these outings. Notably, in his most recent start last Friday, Curry delivered an impressive performance, pitching six innings and conceding only one run while striking out six batters. This strong showing contributed to a 4-1 victory over the Tigers.

Guardians Stats and Insights

GUARDIANS PROBABLE PITCHER – Xzavion Curry

  • Curry gets the start for the Guardians, his seventh of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 75 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Friday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty went six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • Curry is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 2.4 innings per start.
  • He has had 15 appearances this season and he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Guardians were the underdog on the money line for two Curry starts this season — they lost both.
  • Curry’s team is 2-4 in his six starts.
  • Curry has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those outings finished over the total.

GUARDIANS HITTING TRENDS

  • They are 18-5 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cleveland has gone 17-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 40 of the 75 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 45 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 35-10.
  • They have won 17 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers Notes

In the month of August, the Los Angeles Dodgers demonstrated their dominance by securing victories in 17 out of 19 games. This impressive run has propelled their overall season record to 76-47. Leading the NL West division by a significant margin, the Dodgers are aiming to close in on the NL-leading Atlanta Braves, who held a record of 80-44 as of Tuesday.

In recent weeks, the Dodgers’ offensive performance has been moderate, with a slash line of .255/.319/.404. During this period, they managed to hit 17 doubles and 13 home runs in 376 at-bats. On the other hand, their pitching staff has been exceptional, boasting an impressive 2.08 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and a mere .171 batting average against their opponents.

Taking the mound on Wednesday in Cleveland will be Clayton Kershaw, the 35-year-old left-handed pitcher. Kershaw has accumulated an impressive record of 11 wins and 4 losses, maintaining a remarkable 2.48 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and a solid 111/26 K/BB ratio over 18 starts, spanning 105.1 innings pitched in the 2023 season. After spending the entirety of July on the Injured List, Kershaw made a successful return on August 10. In that game, he pitched five innings, conceding just one run against the Colorado Rockies, though it resulted in a no-decision. Another notable performance occurred the following Wednesday, where Kershaw once again pitched five innings, allowing only one run and securing a victory in a 7-1 home win against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Dodgers Stats and Insights

DODGERS PROBABLE PITCHER – Clayton Kershaw

  • Kershaw’s team is 10-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday when he tossed five innings while giving up one earned run on three hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Kershaw will look to finish five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 18 chances this season.
  • Kershaw’s team has a record of 12-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the money line.
  • Kershaw’s team has a 13-5 record in his starts this season.
  • In Kershaw’s 18 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

DODGERS HITTING TRENDS

  • The Dodgers have a 46-16 record this season in games when they belt two or more homers.
  • Los Angeles has gone 29-9 in its 38 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits in 79 games this season and is 58-21 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a 62-16 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers are 37-15 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Final Thoughts/Pick

I won’t be positioning myself against the formidable Dodgers, who are on fire right now. Therefore, I’m inclined to go with Los Angeles at -1.5 on the run line, as the moneyline odds don’t appear attractive unless you’re considering using the Dodgers in a parlay. Aside from Enrique Hernandez, who boasts a 1-for-1 record with an RBI against Xzavion Curry, the current Dodgers lineup hasn’t faced the Guardians’ right-handed pitcher before.

Lately, the Dodgers have struggled at the plate against right-handed pitchers, with a lackluster .690 OPS and 84 wRC+ in the last ten days over 180 plate appearances. However, I’m not confident that Curry can outperform Clayton Kershaw on the mound.

Shifting focus, the Guardians have had difficulties when facing left-handed pitchers, evidenced by their .209/.259/.276 slash line in the last ten days spanning 143 plate appearances, resulting in a 47 wRC+. Their track record against Kershaw includes 8 hits in 40 at-bats, one home run, and three RBI. It’s worth noting that Kershaw’s last appearance at Progressive Field was in 2017 when he secured a victory after pitching seven innings and conceding only two runs.

Kershaw’s recent form has been impressive, allowing just six earned runs across his last seven starts (43 innings) since June 2, accompanied by 27 hits and 10 walks.

Our Pick: Take Dodgers and the Run Line -1.5

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